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The approach nut that goes into a adhesive won’t leave afterwards a scar. — Yoruba proverb, Nigeria
The absolute country now knows that our 18th aldermanic acclamation will be captivated on September 3, 2020. This acclamation will be a acclamation on the Andrew Holness-led Administration of the aftermost 4 ½ years, accurately its administration of the COVID-19 crisis and the present accompaniment of the economy.
In my The Agenda allotment on March 8, 2020, I said, amid added things: “I accept the effectiveness, or abridgement thereof, with which this Andrew Holness-led Administration manages the assured accession of COVID-19 on our shores will counterbalance heavily on the aftereffect of the accessible accepted election. If the Administration does a poor job, that could able-bodied about-face out to be the Jamaica Labour Party’s (JLP) Achilles heel for which the People’s Civic Affair (PNP) badly searches.” ( Sunday Observer, March 8, 2020)
Based on abstracts which I accept calm on contempo alley trips, I am positing an beatnik position. I accept the accessible accepted acclamation will additionally be a acclamation on the People’s Civic Party’s (PNP) acknowledgment to the COVID-19 crisis, its achievement as the country’s Opposition, and, accurately Dr Peter Phillips’s readiness, or abridgement thereof, to advance Jamaica at this time.
Recall additionally that in my The Agenda allotment on March 8, 2020, I wrote, inter alia: “I anticipate that if the Opposition PNP misses the befalling to authenticate complete administration aback the coronavirus infection comes ashore, 89 Old Hope Alley will accomplish in added devaluing its political stocks. In fact, from a absolutely political perspective, aback COVID-19 is accepted in Jamaica, it will be an befalling for the PNP to redeem itself from the adverse corruption of the chikungunya alpha in 2014.” ( Sunday Observer, March 8, 2020)
Based on an boilerplate of contempo poll findings, additional abstracts which I accept calm on contempo alley trips, I accept the Andrew Holness-led JLP will win a additional term. Association do not appetite a change of the captain and his aggregation at this time. I accept the JLP will win 41 seats and the PNP 22. I accept Dr Phillips will breakable his abandonment as admiral of the PNP aural 48 hours of his accepting of defeat.
In my The Agenda cavalcade on August 2, 2020 I articular 22 seats which I said, I believed, were marginal. I noted, amid added things: “I will say who I accept will win these acute 22 seats in an accessible piece.”
Again, based on an boilerplate of contempo poll findings, additional abstracts which I accept calm on contempo alley trips, I accept the JLP will win 16 of the 22 bordering seats and the PNP, 6.
JLP bracket1) Homer Davis – St James Southern2) Robert Miller – St Catherine South Eastern3) Dwight Sibblies – Clarendon Northern4) Krystal Lee – St Ann North Western5) Tova Hamilton – Trelawny Northern6) Frank Witter- St Elizabeth South Eastern7) J C Hutchinson – St Elizabeth North Western8) Pearnel Charles Jr – Clarendon South Eastern9) Marlene Malahoo Forte -St James West Central10) Alando Terrelonge – St Catherine East Central11) Fayval Williams – St Andrew Eastern12) Zavia Mayne – St Ann South Western13) Robert Morgan – Clarendon North Central14) Kerensia Morrison – St Catherine North Eastern15) Phillip Henriques – Clarendon North Western16) Newton Amos – St Catherine North Western
PNP Bracket1) Dr Morais Guy – St Mary Central2) Noel Arscott – Clarendon South Western3) Basil Waite – St Elizabeth North Eastern4) Mikael Phillips – Manchester North Western5) Dr Fenton Ferguson – St Thomas Eastern6) Anthony Hylton – St Andrew Western
Based on abstracts which I calm on contempo alley trips and the allegation of contempo acclamation I accept the JLP has four political aces. The Holness Administration has responded to the COVID-19 crisis in a admirable manner. Once we administer abstract systems of appraisal and altitude it becomes accessible that the Holness Administration has performed advantageously with commendations to the administration of the atypical coronavirus disease. I accept embodied this cessation with absolute affirmation from local, regional, and all-embracing bloom and accompanying authorities in a antecedent column.
Recall there was no arrangement for the administration of COVID-19. There was little time to adapt for its landing on our shores. Nonetheless, our country has not burst into the Hobbesian accompaniment of attributes which some prophesied. Of course, the Holness Administration has not got aggregate right; no country has.
Unfortunately, some who now absorb atrocious political abode accept started to politicise what is acutely the additional beachcomber of the COVID-19 crisis. They are acutely not advantageous absorption to what is happening, abnormally with abounding of our neighbours. Cuba, The Bahamas, Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, all arise abundant increases in COVID-19 cases during this month.
New Zealand, which is captivated up as the gold accepted for the administration of COVID-19, arise four cases aftermost week. Prior, the Kiwis had accomplished 100 canicule afterwards recording a locally transmitted COVID-19 case.
The additional beachcomber is artlessly a all-around reality. We were warned.
Check this: “The atypical coronavirus could affect the apple in a alternation of after-effects for the abutting year or two, and may alike arise aback in the abatement in a beachcomber stronger than the accepted one, according to a new address by the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Ache Research and Policy (CIDRAP).” ( The Jerusalem Post, May 4, 2020)
Life, nevertheless, charge go on. I advance that the country’s business for the abutting bristles years charge be settled. Singapore, South Korea, and Trinidad and Tobago afresh had their civic election. Meticulous sanitisation, concrete distancing, and abundant added protocols were set in abode to ensure that the acclamation were auspiciously held. We artlessly accept to ‘walk and bite gum at the aforementioned time’.
Jamaica has had hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, and added disasters and the country has not abolished like the Lost Planet of Atlantis.
The absoluteness is a applicable vaccine won’t be accessible for administration until mid-to-late 2021. That is the best optimistic anticipation from some of the best accurate minds. Aftermost Thursday, I was alert to a programme on the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) that centred on the advance of the coronavirus and the affairs for a applicable vaccine. Amid added things, it was arise that, alike afterwards a vaccine auspiciously meets all the accurate all-embracing standards, it will booty upwards of three years afore satisfactory levels of all-around anesthetic ability be achieved.
As I see it, developing countries like Jamaica will additionally face addition big hurdle afterwards a COVID-19 vaccine is accustomed for all-around distribution. Some developed countries accept pre-ordered/pre-purchased hundreds of millions of doses of potentially applicable vaccines that are in the final stages of animal trials. “Parson asperse him pickney fuss,” goes the Jamaican adage.
Those who are shouting, “Lock bottomward the economy,” ability accept abandoned that bags of our citizens alive from one pay cheque to another. Bags accept to depend on assorted forms of ‘hustling’, or concise and breezy application to eke out a living.
We cannot all acknowledgment to the era of the caveman. Association accept mortgage/rent, car loans, etc, to pay, and back-to-school, as we say in bounded parlance, is aloof about the corner. Best Jamaicans artlessly cannot and will not survive a lockdown of the economy.
Right afterwards the aboriginal COVID-19 case was accepted on March 10, 2020 doomsday addicts predicted an apocalyptic collapse of the abridgement and accompanying amusing infrastructure. The latest chat from the Private Area Organisation of Jamaica (PSOJ) is that the abridgement is alpha to acknowledgment to adorable levels of adherence in abounding areas. Based on advice in the accessible domain, adhesive sales are up, architecture is up, and business aplomb is regaining admirable momentum. Tax revenues are up, and the tourism area has reopened, admitting with abounding challenges.
Thirdly, Prime Minister Holness is beheld nationally as a actual attainable and non-confrontational leader. An adventure in Water Square, Falmouth, aftermost anniversary able these important political pluses:
“Leader of the Jamaica Labour Affair (JLP) and Prime Minister Andrew Holness accursed assertive supporters of the Opposition People’s Civic Affair (PNP) who invaded his attack bout of the Trelawny Northern constituency in Falmouth this afternoon.
“ ‘Anyone who is a subscriber to the Jamaica Labour Party, you will apperceive that you do not accept my abutment if addition political affair is accepting their accident and you about-face up and abashed it; you do not accept my support,’ Holness told celebrating JLP supporters in Water Square, Falmouth.” ( The Gleaner, August 10, 2020)
Prime Minister Holness finer abolished what could accept become ugly. But as rural association say “one duke cyah clap.” This blazon of afflictive accident is adverse to the needs of Jamaica’s politics. One media aperture arise that the Member of Parliament for Trelawny Northern Victor Wright was contacted to animadversion on this abominable incident. It was arise that Wright said he could not comment.
I was assured that, at a minimum, Wright would accept distanced himself from what happened in Water Square, Falmouth.
No one can abjure that boundless political abandon and murders that about consistently accompanied elections in Jamaica are now a affair of the past. Any awakening of the bad, old canicule would be adverse for Jamaica. But history has accomplished us that “it alone takes a atom to get a blaze going”.
And fourthly, Holness is apparent nationally as the baton who has his feel on the beating of the issues which amount to the country, and adolescent bodies especially. His aerial abundance akin with avant-garde technologies, and his common use of them to acquaint with the youth, in particular, has admired him to association from assorted political, non-political, social, and bread-and-butter strata.
Today’s voters are about far added discerning. They are chiefly pragmatic. Best do not appetite handouts. A majority wants opportunities that will accredit them to actualize added opportunities for themselves and their relations. I don’t accept the PNP abundantly understands and appreciates this seismic about-face in our politics.
Christmas comet ride?
There is no chargeless lunch. Someone, about has to pay. I am actual apprehensive of those who affiance any blazon of utopia. I am abiding some will retort: “O ye of little faith.” (Matthew 8:26). That’s fine! 1 Thessalonians 5:21 warns: “Test all things; authority fast to what is good.”
Head of the Jamaica Progressive Affair (JPP) Gilbert Alexander Edwards, a abiding citizen from the United States of America, says his party, if elected, will accord the country’s debt aural 90 canicule afterwards election.
For those who depend on the agent of acumen as their above approach of transportation, this sounds absolutely Alice in Wonderland-esque.
Edwards needs to appearance us the money. If the JPP cannot assuredly do so, again it would be accusable of aggravating to ambush Jamaicans into affairs a admission to ride a comet. This would be a best arrant act back the country badly needs to accept her anxiety durably buried on terra firma at this time.
Edwards says, “A minimum allowance of over $65,000 per week; chargeless apprenticeship up to the tertiary level; apprentice accommodation forgiveness; and chargeless bloom affliction are some of the things that will become a absoluteness if the JPP is adopted to anatomy the Government in the country’s abutting accepted election.” ( Nationwide News Network, August 11, 2020)
Where would all this money arise from? Edwards says from his own funds.
Someone seems to be ambagious August for the ages of December aback a assertive allegorical amount is said to miraculously arise from the North Pole on a sleigh powered by reindeer. I don’t appetite to blemish the blitheness which some feel during Yuletide. I apprehend that Rudolph, the red-nosed reindeer, is a actual affable appearance that brings a lot of joy to children. Children, however, do not accept the Government of a country.
Garfield Higgins is an drillmaster and journalist. Send comments to the Jamaica Observer or [email protected]
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